What is drawdown?

Drawdown measures the worst stretch of a session, not where it ended. A session can finish only slightly down but contain a deep drawdown in the middle - and deep drawdowns are when people start chasing losses.

Example. You start with $100. You climb to $130, then slide to $78, then recover to $95.

  • Peak: $130. Lowest point after the peak: $78.
  • Drawdown: $52, or 40% of the peak.
  • Final result: −$5. The ending number hides how rough the session felt.

Median vs max drawdown. Across many simulated sessions, the median drawdown shows a normal session's worst stretch. The max drawdown shows the worst stretch any session hit. High-risk settings and progressive betting systems push both up sharply.

In ProvablyHero tools

The simulator reports median and max drawdown for your settings.

  • What is risk of ruin?Risk of ruin is the chance your bankroll hits zero before you stop. What drives it, why it's high for Martingale, and how to read it in a simulator.
  • What is variance?Variance measures how widely results spread around the average. Why high-risk Plinko swings harder, how it relates to RTP, and how to see it in a simulator.
  • Median vs mean: which "average" should you trust?Why the median session result is usually below the average in casino games, how a few big wins distort the mean, and which number to trust.
  • What is the Martingale system?Martingale doubles your bet after every loss. Why it wins small most of the time, how a losing streak wipes it out, and the exact odds with an example.